
College Basketball · ACC · 2026-27
NC State Wolfpack
2-0 · Coach Justin Gainey (new)
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+21.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +23.8 (#23)
Preseason: #23
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
22-9
- Conference record
- 11-8
- Conference title
- 2%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #23 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #33 in the country (+22.2), 20-14.
- →28% of last season's minutes are back.
- →8 transfers in, led by Preston Edmead (Hofstra, 16.1 ppg), Christian Hammond (Santa Clara, 15.6 ppg), Kyle Evans (UC Irvine, 12 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →1 ranked freshman: Kingston Whitty (#205).
- →Lost Darrion Williams (14 ppg, now at Texas Tech), Quadir Copeland (13.9 ppg), Tre Holloman (9.2 ppg, now at Grand Canyon).
- →New head coach: Justin Gainey, replacing Will Wade. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like NC State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston EdmeadG · Sophomore · #131 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.0 | 15.0 | 1.0 | 6.5 | 52.9 (9-17) | 45.5 (5-11) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Paul McNeil Jr.G · Junior · #135 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 13.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 33.3 (7-21) | 35.3 (6-17) | 100.0 (7-7) |
| Christian HammondG · Senior · #242 ranked | 2 · 0 | 28.0 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 60.0 (12-20) | 37.5 (3-8) | — (0-0) |
| Ven-Allen LubinF · Senior · #25 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 12.5 | 7.5 | 3.5 | 83.3 (10-12) | 80.0 (4-5) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Darius AdamsG · Sophomore · #1761 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.5 | 9.5 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 42.9 (6-14) | 40.0 (2-5) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Eemeli YalahoF · Senior · #827 ranked | 2 · 0 | 20.0 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 (4-10) | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) |
| Kyle EvansF · Senior · #51 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.5 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 44.4 (4-9) | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Kingston WhittyG · Freshman · #2946 ranked | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| R.J. Keene IIG · Senior · #721 ranked | 2 · 0 | 7.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 25.0 (1-4) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Zymicah WilkinsF · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 6.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 (2-3) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Robert JurkovicF · Senior | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Shah HallF · Senior | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ven-Allen LubinF · Senior | 30 | 13.6 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| Paul McNeil Jr.G · Junior | 29 | 13.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Christian HammondG · Senior | 23 | 15.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast | |
| Preston EdmeadG · Sophomore | 22 | 16.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.4 ast | |
| Kyle EvansF · Senior | 21 | 12 pts · 8.7 reb · 0.9 ast | |
| R.J. Keene IIG · Senior | 19 | 2.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast | |
| Eemeli YalahoF · Senior | 18 | 10.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast | |
| Darius AdamsG · Sophomore | 16 | 10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast | |
| Jacari BrimG · Sophomore | 12 | 1.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Comeh EmuoborF · Senior | 11 | 8.9 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast | |
| Kingston WhittyG · Freshman | Freshman · #205 recruit | 8 | — |
Gone from last season: Darrion Williams (14 ppg, to
Texas Tech), Quadir Copeland (13.9 ppg), Tre Holloman (9.2 ppg, to
Grand Canyon), Matt Able (8.8 ppg, to
North Carolina), Terrance Arceneaux (3.8 ppg, to
George Washington), Alyn Breed (4.5 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Ven-Allen Lubin | F | Senior | 6-9 · 235 | Orlando, FL | 12.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 13.6 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast (34 G) | #25 · +2.55 | |
| 14 | Kyle Evans | F | Senior | 6-10 · 225 | Aliso Viejo, CA | 6.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 12.0 pts · 8.7 reb · 0.9 ast (35 G) | #51 · +2.09 | |
| 0 | Preston Edmead | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 180 | Deer Park, NY | 15.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 6.5 ast (2 G) | 16.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.4 ast (35 G) | #131 · +1.67 | |
| 2 | Paul McNeil Jr. | G | Junior | 6-6 · 190 | Rockingham, NC | 13.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 13.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast (34 G) | #135 · +1.66 | |
| 1 | Christian Hammond | G | Senior | 6-4 · 205 | Denver, CO | 13.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 15.6 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.5 ast (34 G) | #242 · +1.30 | |
| 5 | R.J. Keene II | G | Senior | 6-7 · 215 | The Woodlands, TX | 1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast (31 G) | #721 · +0.64 | |
| 3 | Eemeli Yalaho | F | Senior | 6-8 · 235 | Jyvaskyla, Finland | 5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 10.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast (32 G) | #827 · +0.52 | |
| 11 | Darius Adams | G | Sophomore | 6-5 · 190 | Manchester, NJ | 9.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast (33 G) | #1761 · -0.02 | |
| 6 | Jacari Brim | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 200 | Winston-Salem, NC | Hasn't played | 1.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.7 ast (21 G) | #2436 · -0.27 | |
| 4 | Kingston Whitty | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-2 · 185 | Mableton, GA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | #2946 · -0.47 |
| 10 | Comeh Emuobor | F | Senior | 6-5 · 210 | Raleigh, NC | Hasn't played | 8.9 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast (28 G) | #3340 · -0.63 | |
| 33 | Zymicah Wilkins | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 265 | Rutherfordton, NC | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 13 | Robert Jurkovic | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-10 · 235 | Ljubljana, Slovenia | 1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 21 | Shah Hall | New to Division I | F | Senior | 6-11 · 235 | Tuscaloosa, AL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W83-64Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | W77-63Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 87-66NCSU: 97% to winNC State: 97% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 85-64NCSU: 96% to winNC State: 96% to win Compare | |
| Nov 19 | Projected 86-76NCSU: 79% to winNC State: 79% to win Compare | |
| Nov 20 | Baha Mar ChampionshipChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 25 | Projected 90-62NCSU: 99% to winNC State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 86-67NCSU: 95% to winNC State: 95% to win Compare | |
| Dec 1 | Projected 81-70NCSU: 83% to winNC State: 83% to win Compare | |
| Dec 6 | Projected 73-78NCSU: 34% to winNC State: 34% to win Compare | |
| Dec 11 | Projected 90-63NCSU: 99% to winNC State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 80-78NCSU: 56% to winNC State: 56% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 76-77NCSU: 48% to winNC State: 48% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 89-61NCSU: 99% to winNC State: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 74-79NCSU: 33% to winNC State: 33% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 80-72NCSU: 75% to winNC State: 75% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 79-72NCSU: 73% to winNC State: 73% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 78-80NCSU: 45% to winNC State: 45% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 84-75NCSU: 80% to winNC State: 80% to win Compare | |
| Jan 19 | Projected 83-74NCSU: 77% to winNC State: 77% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 82-70NCSU: 86% to winNC State: 86% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 79-75NCSU: 61% to winNC State: 61% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 77-74NCSU: 61% to winNC State: 61% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 84-79NCSU: 66% to winNC State: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 10 | Projected 79-73NCSU: 71% to winNC State: 71% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 76-69NCSU: 73% to winNC State: 73% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 76-78NCSU: 43% to winNC State: 43% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 82-72NCSU: 80% to winNC State: 80% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 80-72NCSU: 75% to winNC State: 75% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 70-84NCSU: 11% to winNC State: 11% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 79-80NCSU: 49% to winNC State: 49% to win Compare | |
| Mar 6 | Projected 75-80NCSU: 33% to winNC State: 33% to win Compare | |
ACC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 17 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 18 | 0-0 | 1-1 |