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College Basketball · ACC · 2026-27

NC State Wolfpack

2-0 · Coach Justin Gainey (new)

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Power Rankings

#35▼12

Who is best right now.

+21.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: +23.8 (#23)

Preseason: #23

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

22-9

Conference record
11-8
Conference title
2%
Outright title
2%
Luck
+0.1

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #23 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #33 in the country (+22.2), 20-14.
  • →28% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →8 transfers in, led by Preston Edmead (Hofstra, 16.1 ppg), Christian Hammond (Santa Clara, 15.6 ppg), Kyle Evans (UC Irvine, 12 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →1 ranked freshman: Kingston Whitty (#205).
  • →Lost Darrion Williams (14 ppg, now at Texas Tech), Quadir Copeland (13.9 ppg), Tre Holloman (9.2 ppg, now at Grand Canyon).
  • →New head coach: Justin Gainey, replacing Will Wade. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like NC State

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Preston EdmeadG · Sophomore · #131 ranked2 · 232.015.01.06.552.9 (9-17)45.5 (5-11)87.5 (7-8)
Paul McNeil Jr.G · Junior · #135 ranked2 · 228.513.55.01.033.3 (7-21)35.3 (6-17)100.0 (7-7)
Christian HammondG · Senior · #242 ranked2 · 028.013.54.53.560.0 (12-20)37.5 (3-8)— (0-0)
Ven-Allen LubinF · Senior · #25 ranked2 · 226.012.57.53.583.3 (10-12)80.0 (4-5)50.0 (1-2)
Darius AdamsG · Sophomore · #1761 ranked2 · 221.59.53.52.542.9 (6-14)40.0 (2-5)71.4 (5-7)
Eemeli YalahoF · Senior · #827 ranked2 · 020.05.04.00.040.0 (4-10)33.3 (2-6)— (0-0)
Kyle EvansF · Senior · #51 ranked2 · 219.56.54.51.544.4 (4-9)100.0 (1-1)100.0 (4-4)
Kingston WhittyG · Freshman · #2946 ranked1 · 08.00.01.01.00.0 (0-1)0.0 (0-1)— (0-0)
R.J. Keene IIG · Senior · #721 ranked2 · 07.51.51.00.525.0 (1-4)25.0 (1-4)— (0-0)
Zymicah WilkinsF · Sophomore2 · 06.02.01.00.066.7 (2-3)— (0-0)0.0 (0-2)
Robert JurkovicF · Senior2 · 05.51.00.50.033.3 (1-3)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Shah HallF · Senior1 · 04.00.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Ven-Allen LubinF · SeniorReturning3013.6 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast
Paul McNeil Jr.G · JuniorReturning2913.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast
Christian HammondG · SeniorTransfer from Santa Clara2315.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.5 ast
Preston EdmeadG · SophomoreTransfer from Hofstra2216.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.4 ast
Kyle EvansF · SeniorTransfer from UC Irvine2112 pts · 8.7 reb · 0.9 ast
R.J. Keene IIG · SeniorTransfer from Boise State192.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast
Eemeli YalahoF · SeniorTransfer from Washington State1810.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast
Darius AdamsG · SophomoreTransfer from Maryland1610.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Jacari BrimG · SophomoreTransfer from App State121.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.7 ast
Comeh EmuoborF · SeniorTransfer from New Hampshire118.9 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast
Kingston WhittyG · FreshmanFreshman · #205 recruit8—

Gone from last season: Darrion Williams (14 ppg, to Texas Tech), Quadir Copeland (13.9 ppg), Tre Holloman (9.2 ppg, to Grand Canyon), Matt Able (8.8 ppg, to North Carolina), Terrance Arceneaux (3.8 ppg, to George Washington), Alyn Breed (4.5 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
22Ven-Allen LubinReturningFSenior6-9 · 235Orlando, FL12.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G)13.6 pts · 7.1 reb · 0.9 ast (34 G)#25 · +2.55
14Kyle EvansTransfer from UC IrvineFSenior6-10 · 225Aliso Viejo, CA6.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)12.0 pts · 8.7 reb · 0.9 ast (35 G)#51 · +2.09
0Preston EdmeadTransfer from HofstraGSophomore6-1 · 180Deer Park, NY15.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 6.5 ast (2 G)16.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.4 ast (35 G)#131 · +1.67
2Paul McNeil Jr.ReturningGJunior6-6 · 190Rockingham, NC13.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)13.8 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.8 ast (34 G)#135 · +1.66
1Christian HammondTransfer from Santa ClaraGSenior6-4 · 205Denver, CO13.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G)15.6 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.5 ast (34 G)#242 · +1.30
5R.J. Keene IITransfer from Boise StateGSenior6-7 · 215The Woodlands, TX1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)2.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.9 ast (31 G)#721 · +0.64
3Eemeli YalahoTransfer from Washington StateFSenior6-8 · 235Jyvaskyla, Finland5.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)10.1 pts · 5.7 reb · 1.7 ast (32 G)#827 · +0.52
11Darius AdamsTransfer from MarylandGSophomore6-5 · 190Manchester, NJ9.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G)10.8 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.6 ast (33 G)#1761 · -0.02
6Jacari BrimTransfer from App StateGSophomore6-2 · 200Winston-Salem, NCHasn't played1.2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.7 ast (21 G)#2436 · -0.27
4Kingston WhittyFreshmanGFreshman6-2 · 185Mableton, GA0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—#2946 · -0.47
10Comeh EmuoborTransfer from New HampshireFSenior6-5 · 210Raleigh, NCHasn't played8.9 pts · 4.2 reb · 0.6 ast (28 G)#3340 · -0.63
33Zymicah WilkinsReturningFSophomore6-9 · 265Rutherfordton, NC2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
13Robert JurkovicNew to Division IFSenior6-10 · 235Ljubljana, Slovenia1.0 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)—Not ranked yet
21Shah HallNew to Division IFSenior6-11 · 235Tuscaloosa, AL0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsCampbellW83-64Box score →
Nov 6vsEast Tennessee StateW77-63Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 10vsPresbyterianProjected 87-66NCSU: 97% to win Compare
Nov 13vsTroyProjected 85-64NCSU: 96% to win Compare
Nov 19vs (N)Murray StateBaha Mar ChampionshipProjected 86-76NCSU: 79% to win Compare
Nov 20Baha Mar ChampionshipChampionship or placement gameOpponent TBD
Nov 25vsNorfolk StateProjected 90-62NCSU: 99% to win Compare
Nov 28vsElonProjected 86-67NCSU: 95% to win Compare
Dec 1vsSouth CarolinaACC/SEC Men's ChallengeProjected 81-70NCSU: 83% to win Compare
Dec 6vs (N)#12TennesseeBad Boy Mowers SeriesProjected 73-78NCSU: 34% to win Compare
Dec 11vsUNC GreensboroProjected 90-63NCSU: 99% to win Compare
Dec 15vs (N)North CarolinaConference · Tobacco Road ClassicProjected 80-78NCSU: 56% to win Compare
Dec 19vs (N)Ole MissProjected 76-77NCSU: 48% to win Compare
Dec 22vsAlabama A&MProjected 89-61NCSU: 99% to win Compare
Dec 29at#23MiamiConferenceProjected 74-79NCSU: 33% to win Compare
Jan 2vsClemsonConferenceProjected 80-72NCSU: 75% to win Compare
Jan 6vsPittsburghConferenceProjected 79-72NCSU: 73% to win Compare
Jan 9atNorth CarolinaConferenceProjected 78-80NCSU: 45% to win Compare
Jan 12vsSMUConferenceProjected 84-75NCSU: 80% to win Compare
Jan 19atGeorgia TechConferenceProjected 83-74NCSU: 77% to win Compare
Jan 23vsWake ForestConferenceProjected 82-70NCSU: 86% to win Compare
Jan 27atCaliforniaConferenceProjected 79-75NCSU: 61% to win Compare
Jan 30atStanfordConferenceProjected 77-74NCSU: 61% to win Compare
Feb 3vsFlorida StateConferenceProjected 84-79NCSU: 66% to win Compare
Feb 10atWake ForestConferenceProjected 79-73NCSU: 71% to win Compare
Feb 13vsBoston CollegeConferenceProjected 76-69NCSU: 73% to win Compare
Feb 17atVirginia TechConferenceProjected 76-78NCSU: 43% to win Compare
Feb 20vsCaliforniaConferenceProjected 82-72NCSU: 80% to win Compare
Feb 24vsNotre DameConferenceProjected 80-72NCSU: 75% to win Compare
Feb 27at#1DukeConferenceProjected 70-84NCSU: 11% to win Compare
Mar 2vs#19LouisvilleConferenceProjected 79-80NCSU: 49% to win Compare
Mar 6at#24VirginiaConferenceProjected 75-80NCSU: 33% to win Compare

ACC standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Duke0-02-0
2Louisville0-02-0
3Virginia0-02-0
4NC State0-02-0
5Virginia Tech0-02-0
6Florida State0-02-0
7North Carolina0-02-0
8Syracuse0-02-0
9Boston College0-02-0
10Pittsburgh0-02-0
11Notre Dame0-02-0
12Clemson0-02-0
13SMU0-02-0
14Stanford0-02-0
15California0-02-0
16Georgia Tech0-02-0
17Miami0-01-1
18Wake Forest0-01-1
All conference standings →