College Basketball · ACC · 2026-27
Louisville Cardinals
2-0 · Coach Pat Kelsey
Power Rankings
#19▼8
Who is best right now.
+26.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +28.3 (#11)
Preseason: #11
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-8
- Conference record
- 13-5
- Conference title
- 11%
- Outright title
- 5%
- Luck
- +0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #11 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #19 in the country (+27.8), 24-11.
- →11% of last season's minutes are back.
- →8 transfers in, led by Jackson Shelstad (Oregon, 15.6 ppg), LJ Wells (Northern Kentucky, 15 ppg), Seth Trimble (North Carolina, 14 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →3 ranked freshmen: Obinna Ekezie Jr. (#15), Boyuan Zhang (#54), Isaac Ellis (#231).
- →Lost Ryan Conwell (18.8 ppg), Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 ppg), Isaac McKneely (10.9 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Louisville
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson ShelstadG · Senior · #258 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.5 | 10.5 | 6.5 | 4.0 | 30.8 (8-26) | 25.0 (5-20) | — (0-0) |
| Alvaro FolgueirasF · Senior · #194 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 10.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 63.6 (7-11) | 50.0 (4-8) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Adrian WooleyG · Junior · #187 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 13.5 | 4.0 | 3.5 | 52.6 (10-19) | 25.0 (2-8) | 71.4 (5-7) |
| Seth TrimbleG · Senior · #110 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 12.0 | 4.5 | 3.5 | 45.0 (9-20) | 22.2 (2-9) | 44.4 (4-9) |
| Flory BidungaF · Junior · #9 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 13.0 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 75.0 (9-12) | 0.0 (0-1) | 66.7 (8-12) |
| Karter KnoxG · Junior · #233 ranked | 2 · 0 | 21.0 | 12.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | 44.4 (8-18) | 28.6 (2-7) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| Obinna Ekezie Jr.C · Freshman · #166 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 12.5 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 69.2 (9-13) | 57.1 (4-7) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Isaac EllisG · Freshman · #1990 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 33.3 (3-9) | 25.0 (2-8) | 50.0 (3-6) |
| LJ WellsF · Senior · #161 ranked | 2 · 0 | 11.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-1) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Boyuan ZhangF · Freshman · #931 ranked | 1 · 0 | 10.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) |
| Will HankeG · Sophomore · #1398 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flory BidungaF · Junior |  Transfer from Kansas | 26 | 13.3 pts · 9 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Adrian WooleyG · Junior |  Returning | 23 | 8.7 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.8 ast |
| Obinna Ekezie Jr.C · Freshman | Freshman · #15 recruit | 21 | — |
| Seth TrimbleG · Senior |  Transfer from North Carolina | 20 | 14 pts · 3.8 reb · 3 ast |
| Alvaro FolgueirasF · Senior |  Transfer from Iowa | 20 | 8.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.2 ast |
| De'Shayne MontgomeryG · Senior |  Transfer from Dayton | 20 | 13.4 pts · 4 reb · 2.1 ast |
| LJ WellsF · Senior |  Transfer from Northern Kentucky | 18 | 15 pts · 7.3 reb · 2.1 ast |
| Karter KnoxG · Junior |  Transfer from Arkansas | 17 | 8.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.2 ast |
| Jackson ShelstadG · Senior |  Transfer from Oregon | 15 | 15.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.9 ast |
| Gabe DynesC · Senior |  Transfer from USC | 15 | 2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Boyuan ZhangF · Freshman | Freshman · #54 recruit | 11 | — |
| Isaac EllisG · Freshman | Freshman · #231 recruit | 8 | — |
| Will HankeG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 0.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Ryan Conwell (18.8 ppg), Mikel Brown Jr. (18.2 ppg), Isaac McKneely (10.9 ppg), J'Vonne Hadley (11.5 ppg), Sananda Fru (9 ppg, to 
Marquette), Khani Rooths (5.3 ppg, to 
Oklahoma)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40 | Flory Bidunga | Transfer from Kansas | F | Junior | 6-9 · 235 | Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo | 13.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 13.3 pts · 9.0 reb · 1.5 ast (35 G) | #9 · +3.14 |
| 5 | Seth Trimble | Transfer from North Carolina | G | Senior | 6-3 · 200 | Menomonee Falls, WI | 12.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 14.0 pts · 3.8 reb · 3.0 ast (24 G) | #110 · +1.79 |
| 53 | LJ Wells | Transfer from Northern Kentucky | F | Senior | 6-8 · 220 | Eau Claire, WI | 3.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 15.0 pts · 7.3 reb · 2.1 ast (33 G) | #161 · +1.54 |
| 15 | Obinna Ekezie Jr. | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-2 · 240 | Lagos, Nigeria | 12.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #166 · +1.53 |
| 14 | Adrian Wooley | Returning | G | Junior | 6-4 · 205 | Tuscaloosa, AL | 13.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 8.7 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.8 ast (35 G) | #187 · +1.48 |
| 7 | Alvaro Folgueiras | Transfer from Iowa | F | Senior | 6-10 · 230 | Malaga, Spain | 10.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | 8.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.2 ast (37 G) | #194 · +1.46 |
| 1 | Karter Knox | Transfer from Arkansas | G | Junior | 6-6 · 220 | Tampa, FL | 12.0 pts · 8.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 8.1 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.2 ast (22 G) | #233 · +1.33 |
| 3 | Jackson Shelstad | Transfer from Oregon | G | Senior | 6-1 · 185 | West Linn, OR | 10.5 pts · 6.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 15.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 4.9 ast (12 G) | #258 · +1.27 |
| 11 | De'Shayne Montgomery | Transfer from Dayton | G | Senior | 6-4 · 200 | Fort Lauderdale, FL | Hasn't played | 13.4 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.1 ast (36 G) | #336 · +1.14 |
| 6 | Boyuan Zhang | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 220 | Changchun, China | 5.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | #931 · +0.43 |
| 45 | Gabe Dynes | Transfer from USC | C | Senior | 7-5 · 230 | Independence, KY | Hasn't played | 2.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.4 ast (30 G) | #1165 · +0.27 |
| 33 | Will Hanke | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 210 | Louisville, KY | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.2 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.0 ast (10 G) | #1398 · +0.15 |
| 22 | Isaac Ellis | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 185 | Hickory, NC | 5.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #1990 · -0.11 |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsChattanooga | W84-70Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  vsMorehead State | W107-57Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 15 |  atMemphis | Projected 83-78LOU: 67% to winLouisville: 67% to win Compare |
| Nov 19 |  vsStetson | Projected 93-63LOU: 99% to winLouisville: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)#17Texas TechPlayers Era 16 | Projected 75-76LOU: 49% to winLouisville: 49% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 1 |  vs#14TexasACC/SEC Men's Challenge | Projected 82-79LOU: 58% to winLouisville: 58% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vs (N)#13Michigan | Projected 80-82LOU: 46% to winLouisville: 46% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  atKentucky | Projected 80-79LOU: 54% to winLouisville: 54% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsLong Island University | Projected 91-63LOU: 99% to winLouisville: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  vsEastern Michigan | Projected 87-61LOU: 99% to winLouisville: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 30 |  atVirginia TechConference | Projected 79-78LOU: 55% to winLouisville: 55% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsStanfordConference | Projected 83-70LOU: 87% to winLouisville: 87% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 | vsNorth CarolinaConference | Projected 84-76LOU: 77% to winLouisville: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atSMUConference | Projected 84-77LOU: 73% to winLouisville: 73% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  vsCaliforniaConference | Projected 85-72LOU: 88% to winLouisville: 88% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atSyracuseConference | Projected 80-76LOU: 63% to winLouisville: 63% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  vs#23MiamiConference | Projected 80-75LOU: 67% to winLouisville: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vs (N)Baylor | Projected 83-78LOU: 67% to winLouisville: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  atBoston CollegeConference | Projected 76-71LOU: 65% to winLouisville: 65% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atGeorgia TechConference | Projected 86-74LOU: 86% to winLouisville: 86% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 |  vsPittsburghConference | Projected 82-71LOU: 83% to winLouisville: 83% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsWake ForestConference | Projected 86-69LOU: 92% to winLouisville: 92% to win Compare |
| Feb 8 | atNorth CarolinaConference | Projected 81-79LOU: 57% to winLouisville: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | vsSMUConference | Projected 88-74LOU: 88% to winLouisville: 88% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 |  at#24VirginiaConference | Projected 78-80LOU: 45% to winLouisville: 45% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 |  atFlorida StateConference | Projected 84-82LOU: 57% to winLouisville: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 |  vs#1DukeConference | Projected 76-80LOU: 35% to winLouisville: 35% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 |  atNC StateConference | Projected 80-79LOU: 52% to winLouisville: 52% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 |  vsClemsonConference | Projected 83-72LOU: 84% to winLouisville: 84% to win Compare |
ACC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Louisville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Virginia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | NC State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Florida State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | North Carolina | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Syracuse | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Boston College | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 |  Notre Dame | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Clemson | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | SMU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | Stanford | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | California | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 17 | Miami | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Wake Forest | 0-0 | 1-1 |