Power Rankings
#45▼9
Who is best right now.
+19.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +19.3 (#36)
Preseason: #37
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
18-12
- Conference record
- 8-10
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- +0.0
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #37 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #47 in the country (+18.5), 17-17.
- →25% of last season's minutes are back.
- →4 transfers in, led by Brett Decker Jr. (Liberty, 16.9 ppg), Kayden Mingo (Penn State, 13.7 ppg), Isaac Celiscar (Yale, 13.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Dylan Mingo (#12), Elijah Williams (#37).
- →Lost Cameron Carr (18.9 ppg), Obi Agbim (10.6 ppg), Tounde Yessoufou (17.8 ppg, now at St. John's).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Baylor
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Decker Jr.G · Junior · #341 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 12.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 38.1 (8-21) | 38.9 (7-18) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Isaac Williams IVG · Junior · #154 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.0 | 17.0 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 40.0 (10-25) | 11.1 (1-9) | 86.7 (13-15) |
| Isaac CeliscarF · Junior · #72 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.5 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 50.0 (5-10) | 20.0 (1-5) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| Kayden MingoG · Sophomore · #264 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 15.0 | 4.0 | 2.5 | 42.9 (9-21) | 27.3 (3-11) | 81.8 (9-11) |
| Dylan MingoG · Freshman · #89 ranked | 2 · 2 | 21.0 | 14.5 | 5.5 | 4.5 | 60.0 (12-20) | 0.0 (0-2) | 41.7 (5-12) |
| Elijah WilliamsF · Freshman · #457 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.0 | 11.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 47.1 (8-17) | 16.7 (1-6) | 75.0 (6-8) |
| Evan ChatmanF · Senior · #376 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.0 | 6.0 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | 16.7 (1-6) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Caden PowellC · Senior · #149 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.0 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) | 44.4 (4-9) |
| Juslin Bodo BodoC · Senior · #3528 ranked | 2 · 2 | 14.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Mayo SoyoyeC · Sophomore · #3558 ranked | 2 · 0 | 10.0 | 6.0 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (5-5) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Maikcol PerezF · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (1-2) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (2-4) |
| Andre Iguodala IIG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Drew PerryG · Sophomore · #1962 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| James GoodisG · Senior · #1769 ranked | 2 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Tegra MakabuC · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caden PowellC · Senior |  Returning | 26 | 7 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.3 ast |
| Isaac Williams IVG · Junior | Returning | 25 | 10.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.2 ast |
| Isaac CeliscarF · Junior |  Transfer from Yale | 23 | 13.2 pts · 6.3 reb · 3.2 ast |
| Brett Decker Jr.G · Junior |  Transfer from Liberty | 21 | 16.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Dylan MingoG · Freshman | Freshman · #12 recruit | 21 | — |
| Evan ChatmanF · Senior |  Transfer from UAB | 20 | 8.8 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.1 ast |
| Kayden MingoG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Penn State | 19 | 13.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.3 ast |
| Elijah WilliamsF · Freshman | Freshman · #37 recruit | 15 | — |
| Drew PerryG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 1.1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
| James GoodisG · Senior | Returning | 5 | 1.7 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Cameron Carr (18.9 ppg), Obi Agbim (10.6 ppg), Tounde Yessoufou (17.8 ppg, to 
St. John's), Dan Skillings Jr. (9.4 ppg, to 
Grand Canyon), Michael Rataj (7.2 ppg), James Nnaji (1.4 ppg, to 
George Mason)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Isaac Celiscar | Transfer from Yale | F | Junior | 6-6 · 210 | Winter Haven, FL | 7.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 13.2 pts · 6.3 reb · 3.2 ast (31 G) | #72 · +1.94 |
| 5 | Dylan Mingo | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 | Farmingdale, NY | 14.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | — | #89 · +1.89 |
| 44 | Caden Powell | Returning | C | Senior | 6-9 · 224 | Waco, TX | 5.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 7.0 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.3 ast (34 G) | #149 · +1.59 |
| 10 | Isaac Williams IV | Returning | G | Junior | 6-1 · 192 | Oklahoma City, OK | 17.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 5.0 ast (2 G) | 10.4 pts · 2.2 reb · 3.2 ast (34 G) | #154 · +1.57 |
| 4 | Kayden Mingo | Transfer from Penn State | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 195 | Farmingdale, NY | 15.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 13.7 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.3 ast (28 G) | #264 · +1.26 |
| 2 | Brett Decker Jr. | Transfer from Liberty | G | Junior | 6-0 · 190 | Elizabethtown, KY | 12.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | 16.9 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.1 ast (34 G) | #341 · +1.12 |
| 15 | Evan Chatman | Transfer from UAB | F | Senior | 6-7 · 220 | Harker Heights, TX | 6.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 8.8 pts · 8.8 reb · 1.1 ast (32 G) | #376 · +1.07 |
| 0 | Elijah Williams | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 | San Antonio, TX | 11.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #457 · +0.93 |
| 13 | James Goodis | Returning | G | Senior | 6-0 · 185 | Winter Park, FL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.7 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (3 G) | #1769 · -0.02 |
| 3 | Drew Perry | Returning | G | Sophomore | 5-10 · 162 | Dallas, TX | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 1.1 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (9 G) | #1962 · -0.10 |
| 21 | Juslin Bodo Bodo | New to Division I | C | Senior | 6-11 · 231 | Yaounde, Cameroon | 1.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3528 · -0.73 |
| 46 | Mayo Soyoye | New to Division I | C | Sophomore | 6-10 · 234 | Abuja, Nigeria | 6.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3558 · -0.74 |
| 22 | Tegra Makabu | Freshman | C | Freshman | 6-9 | Kinshasa, Democratic Republic of Congo | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 7 | Andre Iguodala II | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 170 | Lafayette, CA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 20 | Maikcol Perez | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 215 | Bassano del Grappa, Italy | 2.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsNorthwestern State | W87-65Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsArkansas-Pine Bluff | W109-53Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | vsYale | Projected 84-69BAY: 91% to winBaylor: 91% to win Compare |
| Nov 15 |  vs (N)#14TexasSan Antonio Hoops Showdown | Projected 78-83BAY: 30% to winBaylor: 30% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vsJackson State | Projected 93-63BAY: 99% to winBaylor: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)#22AlabamaPlayers Era 16 | Projected 83-87BAY: 36% to winBaylor: 36% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 5 |  vsMemphis | Projected 84-77BAY: 71% to winBaylor: 71% to win Compare |
| Dec 9 |  vsQueens University | Projected 96-77BAY: 95% to winBaylor: 95% to win Compare |
| Dec 19 |  atWashington | Projected 80-78BAY: 59% to winBaylor: 59% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 | vsOzarks (AR)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 29 |  vsMississippi Valley State | Projected 96-56BAY: 99% to winBaylor: 99% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsKansas StateConference | Projected 86-74BAY: 85% to winBaylor: 85% to win Compare |
| Jan 6 |  at#17Texas TechConference | Projected 70-79BAY: 23% to winBaylor: 23% to win Compare |
| Jan 10 |  vs#5HoustonConference | Projected 73-78BAY: 33% to winBaylor: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 13 |  atUCFConference | Projected 83-81BAY: 57% to winBaylor: 57% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsOklahoma StateConference | Projected 83-82BAY: 53% to winBaylor: 53% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  atTCUConference | Projected 76-81BAY: 33% to winBaylor: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  vs (N)#19Louisville | Projected 78-83BAY: 33% to winBaylor: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  vsColoradoConference | Projected 83-74BAY: 77% to winBaylor: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  atUtahConference | Projected 79-72BAY: 74% to winBaylor: 74% to win Compare |
| Feb 2 |  at#15BYUConference | Projected 79-88BAY: 21% to winBaylor: 21% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsUCFConference | Projected 86-78BAY: 77% to winBaylor: 77% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 |  vs#21CincinnatiConference | Projected 75-76BAY: 47% to winBaylor: 47% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atColoradoConference | Projected 80-78BAY: 57% to winBaylor: 57% to win Compare |
| Feb 17 |  at#3KansasConference | Projected 71-85BAY: 11% to winBaylor: 11% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vs#25West VirginiaConference | Projected 75-74BAY: 53% to winBaylor: 53% to win Compare |
| Feb 23 |  vs#16Iowa StateConference | Projected 77-79BAY: 42% to winBaylor: 42% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 |  at#10ArizonaConference | Projected 76-87BAY: 18% to winBaylor: 18% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 |  atArizona StateConference | Projected 79-80BAY: 49% to winBaylor: 49% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | vs#3KansasConference | Projected 74-82BAY: 26% to winBaylor: 26% to win Compare |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kansas | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Houston | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 3 | BYU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Texas Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Cincinnati | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | West Virginia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Oklahoma State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | TCU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 | Baylor | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Arizona State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | UCF | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Utah | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | Arizona | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 14 | Iowa State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 15 | Colorado | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 16 | Kansas State | 0-0 | 1-1 |