
College Basketball · Big Sky · 2026-27
Weber State Wildcats
0-2 · Coach Kaleb Canales (new)
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
-14.3points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -11.7 (#288)
Preseason: #288
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
9-22
- Conference record
- 7-13
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- <1%
- Luck
- -0.3
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #288 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #189 in the country (-2.4), 16-16.
- →9% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Brock Felder (Seattle U, 3.1 ppg), Augustine Ekwe (New Mexico State, 2.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Tijan Saine Jr. (17.5 ppg, now at Florida International), Jace Whiting (11.2 ppg, now at UTEP), Viljami Vartiainen (12.8 ppg, now at UC Santa Barbara).
- →New head coach: Kaleb Canales, replacing Eric Duft. A coaching change usually costs a little in year one.
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Weber State
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Augustine EkweC · Sophomore · #1872 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 11.0 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 57.9 (11-19) | — (0-0) | 0.0 (0-4) |
| Dylan WarlickF · Sophomore · #3422 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 4.0 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 36.4 (4-11) | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-2) |
| Gavin LoweG · Freshman · #2982 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.0 | 11.5 | 5.0 | 4.5 | 36.0 (9-25) | 12.5 (1-8) | 100.0 (4-4) |
| ArDarius GraysonG · Sophomore · #2081 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.5 | 15.5 | 5.5 | 3.0 | 44.4 (12-27) | 40.0 (6-15) | 20.0 (1-5) |
| Dyllan ThompsonF · Junior · #3337 ranked | 2 · 2 | 20.0 | 2.5 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 11.1 (1-9) | 11.1 (1-9) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Mason AbittanG · Sophomore · #2911 ranked | 2 · 2 | 19.5 | 13.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 44.4 (8-18) | 50.0 (5-10) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Chamberlain BurgessF · Sophomore · #3278 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 3.0 | 5.0 | 0.5 | 7.7 (1-13) | 14.3 (1-7) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Aaron PowellG · Sophomore · #3810 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.5 | 8.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 35.7 (5-14) | 40.0 (4-10) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| Brock FelderF · Senior · #1383 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 6.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 83.3 (5-6) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Declan CutlerC · Junior · #2248 ranked | 1 · 0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Sir Marius JonesG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Hunter HansenG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Maximillian RussellG · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brock FelderF · Senior | 15 | 3.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.1 ast | |
| Augustine EkweC · Sophomore | 15 | 2.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| ArDarius GraysonG · Sophomore | 14 | 3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Declan CutlerC · Junior | 10 | 1.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Tijan Saine Jr. (17.5 ppg, to
Florida International), Jace Whiting (11.2 ppg, to
UTEP), Viljami Vartiainen (12.8 ppg, to
UC Santa Barbara), Malek Gomma (8 ppg, to
Utah), Trevor Hennig (10 ppg, to
East Tennessee State), Nigel Burris (10.3 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 33 | Brock Felder | F | Senior | 6-8 · 230 | St. George, UT | 6.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.1 ast (28 G) | #1383 · +0.15 | |
| 44 | Augustine Ekwe | C | Sophomore | 6-9 · 230 | Lagos, Nigeria | 11.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 2.7 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.2 ast (23 G) | #1872 · -0.07 | |
| 0 | ArDarius Grayson | G | Sophomore | 6-1 · 185 | Oakland, CA | 15.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 3.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast (31 G) | #2081 · -0.15 | |
| 15 | Declan Cutler | C | Junior | 6-9 · 235 | Vancouver, BC | 1.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.5 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.2 ast (27 G) | #2248 · -0.21 | |
| 8 | Mason Abittan | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 200 | Las Vegas, NV | 13.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2911 · -0.45 |
| 13 | Gavin Lowe | Freshman | G | Freshman | 5-11 · 170 | Holladay, UT | 11.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | — | #2982 · -0.48 |
| 4 | Chamberlain Burgess | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-9 · 210 | Cedar Hills, UT | 3.0 pts · 5.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3278 · -0.61 |
| 21 | Dyllan Thompson | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-7 · 215 | Houston, TX | 2.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3337 · -0.63 |
| 23 | Dylan Warlick | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-5 · 210 | Edmond, OK | 4.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3422 · -0.68 |
| 5 | Aaron Powell | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 185 | Pasadena, CA | 8.5 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3810 · -0.85 |
| 10 | Hunter Hansen | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 180 | Farr West, UT | 2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 32 | Maximillian Russell | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-1 · 170 | Tracy, CA | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 11 | Sir Marius Jones | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 200 | Oroville, CA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 3 | Alvin Jackson III | G | Junior | 6-5 · 205 | Washington, DC | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | L61-102Box score → | |
| Nov 7 | L93-101Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 68-85WEB: 8% to winWeber State: 8% to win Compare | |
| Nov 14 | vsLincoln (CA)(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 18 | Projected 65-96WEB: 1% to winWeber State: 1% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Projected 77-84WEB: 28% to winWeber State: 28% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 79-86WEB: 28% to winWeber State: 28% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 79-89WEB: 18% to winWeber State: 18% to win Compare | |
| Dec 3 | Projected 75-84WEB: 23% to winWeber State: 23% to win Compare | |
| Dec 5 | Projected 77-84WEB: 27% to winWeber State: 27% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | Projected 77-83WEB: 32% to winWeber State: 32% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 68-102WEB: 1% to winWeber State: 1% to win Compare | |
| Dec 18 | Projected 69-89WEB: 4% to winWeber State: 4% to win Compare | |
| Dec 31 | Projected 81-78WEB: 60% to winWeber State: 60% to win Compare | |
| Jan 7 | Projected 79-80WEB: 47% to winWeber State: 47% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 75-85WEB: 19% to winWeber State: 19% to win Compare | |
| Jan 14 | Projected 73-82WEB: 21% to winWeber State: 21% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 75-86WEB: 17% to winWeber State: 17% to win Compare | |
| Jan 18 | Projected 77-80WEB: 39% to winWeber State: 39% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 79-78WEB: 53% to winWeber State: 53% to win Compare | |
| Jan 25 | Projected 76-85WEB: 22% to winWeber State: 22% to win Compare | |
| Jan 28 | Projected 81-82WEB: 49% to winWeber State: 49% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 79-81WEB: 44% to winWeber State: 44% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 77-81WEB: 38% to winWeber State: 38% to win Compare | |
| Feb 11 | Projected 78-83WEB: 35% to winWeber State: 35% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 76-79WEB: 41% to winWeber State: 41% to win Compare | |
| Feb 18 | Projected 71-88WEB: 7% to winWeber State: 7% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 76-84WEB: 26% to winWeber State: 26% to win Compare | |
| Feb 22 | Projected 73-83WEB: 20% to winWeber State: 20% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 83-75WEB: 74% to winWeber State: 74% to win Compare | |
| Mar 1 | Projected 79-82WEB: 42% to winWeber State: 42% to win Compare | |
Big Sky standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 3-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 0-2 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 0-2 |