
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+27.5points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +23.2 (#25)
Preseason: #25
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
23-7
- Conference record
- 12-6
- Conference title
- 12%
- Outright title
- 5%
- Luck
- +0.2
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #25 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #22 in the country (+26.0), 23-12.
- →27% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Jaxon Kohler (Michigan State, 12.5 ppg), Collin Chandler (Kentucky, 9.7 ppg), Tyler Betsey (Syracuse, 6.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Bruce Branch III (#5), Dean Rueckert (#85).
- →Lost AJ Dybantsa (25.5 ppg), Richie Saunders (18.1 ppg), Kennard Davis Jr. (8.5 ppg, now at Missouri).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like BYU
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin ChandlerG · Junior · #177 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 3.0 | 52.4 (11-21) | 38.5 (5-13) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Robert Wright IIIG · Junior · #42 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.0 | 26.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 65.4 (17-26) | 62.5 (5-8) | 92.9 (13-14) |
| Bruce Branch IIIF · Freshman · #78 ranked | 2 · 2 | 26.5 | 14.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 50.0 (10-20) | 28.6 (2-7) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Tyler BetseyF · Junior · #997 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.5 | 16.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 78.6 (11-14) | 76.9 (10-13) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jaxon KohlerF · Senior · #32 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.5 | 11.0 | 6.5 | 1.5 | 47.1 (8-17) | 25.0 (1-4) | 100.0 (5-5) |
| Jake WahlinF · Senior · #912 ranked | 2 · 0 | 16.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 80.0 (4-5) | 50.0 (1-2) | 100.0 (1-1) |
| Khadim MboupF · Junior · #729 ranked | 2 · 0 | 15.0 | 3.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 42.9 (3-7) | 0.0 (0-1) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Brooks BahrF · Freshman · #3204 ranked | 2 · 0 | 14.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 3.5 | 25.0 (1-4) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Nate PickensG · Senior · #3631 ranked | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 50.0 (3-6) | 40.0 (2-5) | — (0-0) |
| Dean RueckertF · Freshman · #1237 ranked | 1 · 0 | 10.0 | 2.0 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 33.3 (1-3) | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Brody KozlowskiF · Junior | 1 · 0 | 10.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Petar OstojicC · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 (1-1) | 100.0 (1-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Wright IIIG · Junior | 34 | 18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast | |
| Jaxon KohlerF · Senior | 25 | 12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast | |
| Bruce Branch IIIF · Freshman | Freshman · #5 recruit | 24 | — |
| Collin ChandlerG · Junior | 22 | 9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.2 ast | |
| Jake WahlinF · Senior | 18 | 5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast | |
| Khadim MboupF · Junior | 17 | 2.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Tyler BetseyF · Junior | 16 | 6.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.4 ast | |
| Adam StewartC · Junior | 12 | 0.5 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast | |
| Dean RueckertF · Freshman | Freshman · #85 recruit | 11 | — |
| Dawson BakerF · Senior | 7 | 7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast |
Gone from last season: AJ Dybantsa (25.5 ppg), Richie Saunders (18.1 ppg), Kennard Davis Jr. (8.5 ppg, to
Missouri), Keba Keita (6.2 ppg), Abdullah Ahmed (1.2 ppg, to
Massachusetts), Aleksej Kostic (4.4 ppg, to
Northwestern)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Jaxon Kohler | F | Senior | 6-10 · 245 | American Fork, UT | 11.0 pts · 6.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 12.5 pts · 8.9 reb · 1.3 ast (35 G) | #32 · +2.40 | |
| 1 | Robert Wright III | G | Junior | 6-1 · 183 | Wilmington, DE | 26.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 18.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast (35 G) | #42 · +2.25 | |
| 3 | Bruce Branch III | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Gilbert, AZ | 14.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G) | — | #78 · +1.92 |
| 5 | Collin Chandler | G | Junior | 6-6 · 205 | Farmington, UT | 16.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 3.0 ast (2 G) | 9.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.2 ast (36 G) | #177 · +1.49 | |
| 7 | Khadim Mboup | F | Junior | 6-10 | Dakar, Senegal | 3.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.2 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.4 ast (34 G) | #729 · +0.63 | |
| 10 | Jake Wahlin | F | Senior | 6-10 · 212 | Provo, UT | 5.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast (35 G) | #912 · +0.45 | |
| 9 | Tyler Betsey | F | Junior | 6-9 · 225 | Windsor, CT | 16.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.4 ast (31 G) | #997 · +0.38 | |
| 25 | Dawson Baker | F | Senior | 6-4 · 190 | Coto De Caza, CA | Hasn't played | 7.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.5 ast (6 G) | #1098 · +0.32 | |
| 8 | Dean Rueckert | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 | Provo, UT | 2.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | — | #1237 · +0.24 |
| 13 | Brooks Bahr | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-4 | Keller, TX | 1.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3204 · -0.58 |
| 2 | Nate Pickens | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-3 | El Mirage, AZ | 4.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3631 · -0.77 |
| 24 | Dovydas Buika | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 | Vilnius, Lithuania | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 33 | Petar Ostojic | Freshman | C | Freshman | 7-1 | Belgrade, Serbia | 3.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Brody Kozlowski | F | Junior | 6-7 | Draper, UT | 1.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | W94-83Box score → | |
| Nov 6 | W108-67Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 101-76BYU: 98% to winBYU: 98% to win Compare | |
| Nov 12 | Projected 91-71BYU: 95% to winBYU: 95% to win Compare | |
| Nov 18 | Projected 94-69BYU: 99% to winBYU: 99% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 87-76BYU: 84% to winBYU: 84% to win Compare | |
| Nov 24 | Southwest Maui InvitationalRound 2 | Opponent TBD |
| Nov 25 | Southwest Maui InvitationalChampionship or placement game | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 5 | Projected 84-76BYU: 75% to winBYU: 75% to win Compare | |
| Dec 9 | Projected 85-78BYU: 73% to winBYU: 73% to win Compare | |
| Dec 12 | Projected 100-72BYU: 99% to winBYU: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 15 | Projected 102-68BYU: 99% to winBYU: 99% to win Compare | |
| Dec 19 | Projected 86-76BYU: 80% to winBYU: 80% to win Compare | |
| Dec 22 | Projected 94-69BYU: 99% to winBYU: 99% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 84-79BYU: 68% to winBYU: 68% to win Compare | |
| Jan 6 | Projected 81-76BYU: 66% to winBYU: 66% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 80-81BYU: 45% to winBYU: 45% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 82-87BYU: 35% to winBYU: 35% to win Compare | |
| Jan 16 | Projected 88-68BYU: 95% to winBYU: 95% to win Compare | |
| Jan 20 | Projected 79-82BYU: 40% to winBYU: 40% to win Compare | |
| Jan 23 | Projected 81-74BYU: 71% to winBYU: 71% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 82-81BYU: 52% to winBYU: 52% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 76-81BYU: 31% to winBYU: 31% to win Compare | |
| Feb 2 | Projected 88-79BYU: 79% to winBYU: 79% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 84-71BYU: 87% to winBYU: 87% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 92-74BYU: 93% to winBYU: 93% to win Compare | |
| Feb 17 | Projected 85-78BYU: 75% to winBYU: 75% to win Compare | |
| Feb 20 | Projected 85-78BYU: 73% to winBYU: 73% to win Compare | |
| Feb 22 | Projected 85-83BYU: 57% to winBYU: 57% to win Compare | |
| Feb 27 | Projected 88-81BYU: 75% to winBYU: 75% to win Compare | |
| Mar 2 | Projected 89-82BYU: 72% to winBYU: 72% to win Compare | |
| Mar 5 | Projected 76-79BYU: 40% to winBYU: 40% to win Compare | |
Big 12 standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 12 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 13 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 16 | 0-0 | 1-1 |