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College Basketball · Sun Belt · 2026-27

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers

0-2 · Coach Justin Gray

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Power Rankings

#232▼36

Who is best right now.

-6.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team

Last week: -3.2 (#196)

Preseason: #196

Full Power Rankings → Compare to another team

Rating breakdown

Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.

Projected record

15-16

Conference record
9-9
Conference title
3%
Outright title
1%
Luck
-0.5

Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.

Why #196 in the preseason

What the computer saw going in

  • →Last season: #248 in the country (-7.8), 19-13.
  • →21% of last season's minutes are back.
  • →6 transfers in, led by Trey Perry (Miami (OH), 5.8 ppg), Ashton Hardaway (Memphis, 5.6 ppg), Darius Washington III (Kennesaw State, 5.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
  • →1 ranked freshman: Q Williams IV (#362).
  • →Lost Rasheed Jones (14.7 ppg, now at Rutgers), AJ Dancler (15.7 ppg, now at South Florida), Joshua Beadle (17.8 ppg).

The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.

Teams like Coastal Carolina

The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.

This season

Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.

PlayerG · GSMinPtsRebAstFG%3P%FT%
Trey PerryG · Sophomore · #1302 ranked2 · 228.017.03.52.038.2 (13-34)20.0 (2-10)100.0 (6-6)
Tristan ThompsonG · Sophomore · #2278 ranked2 · 224.56.03.01.522.2 (4-18)25.0 (1-4)60.0 (3-5)
Darius Washington IIIG · Sophomore · #1626 ranked2 · 022.57.52.02.027.3 (6-22)0.0 (0-7)50.0 (3-6)
Jaylen CrossG · Sophomore · #2058 ranked2 · 221.56.05.51.050.0 (5-10)40.0 (2-5)0.0 (0-1)
Jaevian AlstonG · Sophomore1 · 019.010.04.00.057.1 (4-7)66.7 (2-3)— (0-0)
Caleb MiddletonC · Junior · #1667 ranked2 · 117.04.04.50.060.0 (3-5)— (0-0)50.0 (2-4)
DaJohn CraigG · Junior · #2874 ranked2 · 016.04.51.00.020.0 (2-10)22.2 (2-9)100.0 (3-3)
Drew FuquayF · Senior · #2042 ranked2 · 014.03.02.00.566.7 (2-3)50.0 (1-2)50.0 (1-2)
Derrick GreenF · Junior · #2362 ranked2 · 113.52.03.50.0100.0 (2-2)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Q Williams IVG · Freshman · #3835 ranked1 · 013.07.01.01.075.0 (3-4)— (0-0)25.0 (1-4)
Ashton HardawayF · Senior · #1856 ranked2 · 112.01.51.00.520.0 (1-5)25.0 (1-4)— (0-0)
Jordan BuzzardF · Freshman · #3872 ranked2 · 111.50.03.00.50.0 (0-2)— (0-0)— (0-0)
Fletcher BighamF · Senior1 · 06.02.00.00.00.0 (0-2)0.0 (0-2)100.0 (2-2)
Bryson SamsG · Freshman1 · 01.00.00.00.0— (0-0)— (0-0)— (0-0)

Projected rotation

The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.

PlayerHow he got hereProj. minLast season
Tristan ThompsonG · SophomoreReturning204 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.8 ast
Ashton HardawayF · SeniorTransfer from Memphis195.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast
Trey PerryG · SophomoreTransfer from Miami (OH)195.8 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast
Darius Washington IIIG · SophomoreTransfer from Kennesaw State175.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.7 ast
Caleb MiddletonC · JuniorTransfer from Elon163.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.3 ast
Drew FuquayF · SeniorTransfer from Marshall152.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast
DaJohn CraigG · JuniorReturning144.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast
Derrick GreenF · JuniorReturning132.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.2 ast
Jaylen CrossG · SophomoreTransfer from Wake Forest131.8 pts · 1 reb · 0.4 ast
Q Williams IVG · FreshmanFreshman · #362 recruit8—

Gone from last season: Rasheed Jones (14.7 ppg, to Rutgers), AJ Dancler (15.7 ppg, to South Florida), Joshua Beadle (17.8 ppg), Reggie Hill (6.8 ppg), Nadjrick Peat (4.2 ppg), Jerry Ngopot (2 ppg)

Roster

Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.

#PlayerHow he got herePosClassHt / WtHometownThis seasonLast seasonRank · Impact
0Trey PerryTransfer from Miami (OH)GSophomore6-1 · 185Liberty Township, OH17.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)5.8 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast (32 G)#1302 · +0.20
5Darius Washington IIITransfer from Kennesaw StateGSophomore6-5 · 215Orlando, FL7.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 2.0 ast (2 G)5.2 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.7 ast (24 G)#1626 · +0.04
10Caleb MiddletonTransfer from ElonCJunior6-11 · 230Dover, NH4.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)3.2 pts · 3.4 reb · 0.3 ast (29 G)#1667 · +0.03
7Ashton HardawayTransfer from MemphisFSenior6-8 · 245Carson, CA1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)5.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.4 ast (25 G)#1856 · -0.06
6Drew FuquayTransfer from MarshallFSenior6-8 · 220Detroit, MI3.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)2.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.2 ast (29 G)#2042 · -0.13
9Jaylen CrossTransfer from Wake ForestGSophomore6-4 · 190Greensboro, NC6.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G)1.8 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.4 ast (13 G)#2058 · -0.14
1Tristan ThompsonReturningGSophomore6-5 · 215Florence, SC6.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G)4.0 pts · 4.1 reb · 0.8 ast (32 G)#2278 · -0.22
15Derrick GreenReturningFJunior6-9 · 275Fayetteville, NC2.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)2.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 0.2 ast (31 G)#2362 · -0.25
3DaJohn CraigReturningGJunior6-1 · 165Indianapolis, IN4.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G)4.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 0.4 ast (32 G)#2874 · -0.44
4Q Williams IVFreshmanGFreshman5-9 · 180Winston-Salem, NC7.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)—#3835 · -0.86
11Jordan BuzzardFreshmanFFreshman6-9 · 215Charlotte, NC0.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G)—#3872 · -0.87
12Bryson SamsFreshmanGFreshman6-3 · 175Myrtle Beach, SC0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet
30JT KelsheimerFreshmanGFreshman5-10 · 170Cleveland, OHHasn't played—Not ranked yet
2Jaevian AlstonTransfer from Mount OliveGSophomore6-6 · 205Louisburg, NC10.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)14.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G)Not ranked yet
20Fletcher BighamNew to Division IFSenior6-8 · 225Charlotte, NC2.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G)—Not ranked yet

Schedule

Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.

Nov 2vsEastern MichiganL70-71Box score →
Nov 5at#1DukeL52-113Box score →
Still to play · computer projections
Nov 9vsSouth Carolina UpstateProjected 80-68CCU: 84% to win Compare
Nov 12vsVirginia Lynchburg(non-D1)Upcoming
Nov 15atWisconsinProjected 66-85CCU: 5% to win Compare
Nov 20at#12TennesseeProjected 60-88CCU: 1% to win Compare
Nov 24vsCampbellProjected 79-73CCU: 70% to win Compare
Nov 28vsWestern IllinoisProjected 82-63CCU: 95% to win Compare
Dec 2atQueens UniversityProjected 80-87CCU: 28% to win Compare
Dec 5vsWinthropProjected 82-79CCU: 59% to win Compare
Dec 9atEast CarolinaProjected 74-77CCU: 38% to win Compare
Dec 13vsCarolina University(non-D1)Upcoming
Dec 16atGeorgia SouthernConferenceProjected 76-77CCU: 46% to win Compare
Dec 19atTroyConferenceProjected 71-76CCU: 35% to win Compare
Dec 22atWilliam & MaryProjected 74-81CCU: 27% to win Compare
Dec 31vsLouisiana TechConferenceProjected 75-70CCU: 64% to win Compare
Jan 2vsUL MonroeConferenceProjected 85-70CCU: 90% to win Compare
Jan 7atSouthern MissConferenceProjected 73-75CCU: 42% to win Compare
Jan 9atSouth AlabamaConferenceProjected 74-73CCU: 51% to win Compare
Jan 15vsLouisianaConferenceProjected 74-68CCU: 70% to win Compare
Jan 20atApp StateConferenceProjected 68-72CCU: 35% to win Compare
Jan 23vsMarshallConferenceProjected 77-78CCU: 43% to win Compare
Jan 27vsGeorgia SouthernConferenceProjected 79-74CCU: 68% to win Compare
Jan 30atGeorgia StateConferenceProjected 72-77CCU: 34% to win Compare
Feb 3vsJames MadisonConferenceProjected 76-77CCU: 47% to win Compare
Feb 11atMarshallConferenceProjected 73-82CCU: 23% to win Compare
Feb 13vsOld DominionConferenceProjected 72-73CCU: 49% to win Compare
Feb 17vsGeorgia StateConferenceProjected 75-74CCU: 55% to win Compare
Feb 20atJames MadisonConferenceProjected 73-80CCU: 26% to win Compare
Feb 23vsApp StateConferenceProjected 71-69CCU: 56% to win Compare
Feb 26atOld DominionConferenceProjected 69-76CCU: 29% to win Compare

Sun Belt standings

#TeamConfOverall
1Old Dominion0-03-0
2App State0-02-0
3Louisiana Tech0-02-0
4Marshall0-01-1
5Arkansas State0-01-1
6Southern Miss0-01-1
7Georgia Southern0-01-1
8South Alabama0-01-1
9UL Monroe0-01-1
10Georgia State0-01-2
11James Madison0-00-2
12Troy0-00-2
13Coastal Carolina0-00-2
14Louisiana0-00-2
All conference standings →