Power Rankings
#215▼10
Who is best right now.
-5.6points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: -3.8 (#205)
Preseason: #205
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
12-19
- Conference record
- 7-13
- Conference title
- <1%
- Outright title
- 0%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #205 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #126 in the country (+4.3), 21-13.
- →13% of last season's minutes are back.
- →3 transfers in, led by Xander Alarie (Northeastern, 10.3 ppg), Trevon Payton (Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 9.9 ppg), Josh Ibukunoluwa (High Point, 2.8 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Alex Huibregtse (12.8 ppg), Jaquan Johnson (16.9 ppg, now at Iowa State), AJ Smith (8.4 ppg).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Bradley
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevon PaytonG · Senior · #1573 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.0 | 14.0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 31.8 (7-22) | 33.3 (5-15) | 90.0 (9-10) |
| Josh IbukunoluwaF · Junior · #1040 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 11.5 | 7.5 | 1.0 | 60.0 (9-15) | 57.1 (4-7) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Noah WilliamsF · Sophomore · #3729 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 8.5 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 37.5 (6-16) | 33.3 (3-9) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Dietrich RichardsonG · Sophomore · #2795 ranked | 1 · 1 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 40.0 (4-10) | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) |
| Xander AlarieF · Sophomore · #930 ranked | 2 · 2 | 24.5 | 8.5 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 50.0 (7-14) | 50.0 (1-2) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| Ben ThornbrueF · Junior · #3545 ranked | 2 · 0 | 22.0 | 10.5 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 56.2 (9-16) | 33.3 (2-6) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Max GaspaG · Freshman · #3895 ranked | 2 · 1 | 21.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4.5 | 10.0 (1-10) | 12.5 (1-8) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Kyle GrillG · Senior | 2 · 0 | 16.0 | 3.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 22.2 (2-9) | 0.0 (0-4) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Jackson SeastrunkG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 12.5 | 6.0 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 36.4 (4-11) | 33.3 (3-9) | 33.3 (1-3) |
| Gustavo GuimaresC · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 6.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Dimitrije PavlovicG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-2) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
| Gus RugaardG · Junior · #2638 ranked | 1 · 0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Timoty van der KnaapG · Junior |  Returning | 22 | 6.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast |
| Trevon PaytonG · Senior |  Transfer from Arkansas-Pine Bluff | 18 | 9.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.9 ast |
| Xander AlarieF · Sophomore |  Transfer from Northeastern | 14 | 10.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Josh IbukunoluwaF · Junior |  Transfer from High Point | 13 | 2.8 pts · 2 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Dietrich RichardsonG · Sophomore | Returning | 7 | 2.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Gus RugaardG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0.1 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Alex Huibregtse (12.8 ppg), Jaquan Johnson (16.9 ppg, to 
Iowa State), AJ Smith (8.4 ppg), Ahmet Jonovic (8.1 ppg), Demarion Burch (8.8 ppg, to 
Illinois State), Montana Wheeler (8.5 ppg, to 
Kansas State)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Xander Alarie | Transfer from Northeastern | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 235 | Bethesda, MD | 8.5 pts · 7.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 10.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 1.5 ast (11 G) | #930 · +0.43 |
| 19 | Josh Ibukunoluwa | Transfer from High Point | F | Junior | 6-10 · 230 | Perth, WA | 11.5 pts · 7.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 2.8 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.2 ast (16 G) | #1040 · +0.35 |
| 10 | Timoty van der Knaap | Returning | G | Junior | 6-8 · 210 | Bassano del Grappa, Italy | Hasn't played | 6.5 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.4 ast (34 G) | #1300 · +0.20 |
| 20 | Trevon Payton | Transfer from Arkansas-Pine Bluff | G | Senior | 6-6 · 215 | Lilburn, GA | 14.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 9.9 pts · 3.6 reb · 2.9 ast (32 G) | #1573 · +0.06 |
| 23 | Gus Rugaard | Returning | G | Junior | 6-2 · 180 | Morton, IL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.1 reb · 0.0 ast (7 G) | #2638 · -0.35 |
| 1 | Dietrich Richardson | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-7 · 190 | Peoria, IL | 8.0 pts · 8.0 reb · 2.0 ast (1 G) | 2.3 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.5 ast (18 G) | #2795 · -0.42 |
| 4 | Ben Thornbrue | New to Division I | F | Junior | 6-8 · 230 | Hillsboro, OR | 10.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3545 · -0.73 |
| 0 | Noah Williams | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 215 | Los Angeles, CA | 8.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #3729 · -0.81 |
| 6 | Max Gaspa | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 200 | Barcelona, Spain | 2.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 4.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3895 · -0.89 |
| 8 | Dimitrije Pavlovic | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 190 | Beograd, Serbia | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 17 | Gustavo Guimares | Returning | C | Freshman | 6-11 · 225 | Sao Paulo, Brazil | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 5 | Jackson Seastrunk | Returning | G | Freshman | 6-5 · 200 | Fannett, TX | 6.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 24 | Race Kowalczyk | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-6 · 190 | Toledo, OH | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 77 | Georgi Gerganov | New to Division I | G | Junior | 6-4 · 190 | Yambol, Bulgaria | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 2 | Kyle Grill | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-6 · 215 | Maize, KS | 3.5 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 | vsMonmouth (IL)(non-D1) | W85-41Box score → |
| Nov 7 |  vsPacific | L52-63Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 |  atDavidson | Projected 65-76BRAD: 16% to winBradley: 16% to win Compare |
| Nov 12 |  vs (N)Coppin StateShowdown in St. Pete | Projected 75-64BRAD: 83% to winBradley: 83% to win Compare |
| Nov 14 |  vs (N)George MasonShowdown in St. Pete | Projected 62-74BRAD: 15% to winBradley: 15% to win Compare |
| Nov 18 |  vsPurdue Fort Wayne | Projected 75-69BRAD: 68% to winBradley: 68% to win Compare |
| Nov 21 | atPacific | Projected 63-74BRAD: 16% to winBradley: 16% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  vsChicago State | Projected 76-65BRAD: 82% to winBradley: 82% to win Compare |
| Dec 1 | vsLoras(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 4 |  atNorth Texas | Projected 64-75BRAD: 16% to winBradley: 16% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 |  vsGreen Bay | Projected 71-72BRAD: 49% to winBradley: 49% to win Compare |
| Dec 18 |  vsBelmontConference | Projected 70-76BRAD: 30% to winBradley: 30% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  atNorthern IowaConference | Projected 67-76BRAD: 21% to winBradley: 21% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsValparaisoConference | Projected 68-71BRAD: 39% to winBradley: 39% to win Compare |
| Jan 4 |  vsMurray StateConference | Projected 73-80BRAD: 27% to winBradley: 27% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  atSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 72-77BRAD: 34% to winBradley: 34% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atIndiana StateConference | Projected 70-74BRAD: 36% to winBradley: 36% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vsDrakeConference | Projected 72-74BRAD: 45% to winBradley: 45% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  atUICConference | Projected 64-79BRAD: 10% to winBradley: 10% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  vsEvansvilleConference | Projected 75-67BRAD: 77% to winBradley: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 | vsIllinois StateConference | Projected 68-76BRAD: 26% to winBradley: 26% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | atMurray StateConference | Projected 70-84BRAD: 12% to winBradley: 12% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | atEvansvilleConference | Projected 72-70BRAD: 58% to winBradley: 58% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 | vsUICConference | Projected 67-76BRAD: 22% to winBradley: 22% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 | atBelmontConference | Projected 67-79BRAD: 14% to winBradley: 14% to win Compare |
| Feb 12 | atDrakeConference | Projected 69-77BRAD: 26% to winBradley: 26% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 | vsNorthern IowaConference | Projected 70-73BRAD: 40% to winBradley: 40% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | atValparaisoConference | Projected 65-74BRAD: 21% to winBradley: 21% to win Compare |
| Feb 21 | vsSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 75-74BRAD: 55% to winBradley: 55% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | vsIndiana StateConference | Projected 73-71BRAD: 58% to winBradley: 58% to win Compare |
| Feb 28 | atIllinois StateConference | Projected 65-79BRAD: 12% to winBradley: 12% to win Compare |
MVC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UIC | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Murray State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Belmont | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Valparaiso | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Drake | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Evansville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Illinois State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Northern Iowa | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Southern Illinois | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Indiana State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Bradley | 0-0 | 1-1 |