College Basketball · MVC · 2026-27
Valparaiso Beacons
2-0 · Coach Roger Powell Jr.
Power Rankings
#131▲17
Who is best right now.
+3.7points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +0.7 (#148)
Preseason: #148
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
20-11
- Conference record
- 11-9
- Conference title
- 5%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- +0.4
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #148 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #163 in the country (+0.5), 18-15.
- →47% of last season's minutes are back.
- →2 transfers in, led by Bruno Alocen (Indiana State, 6.3 ppg), Kai Yu (Bradley, 2.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Rajan Roberts (#269), Justin Curry II (#340).
- →Lost Owen Dease (12.8 ppg), Brody Whitaker (9.1 ppg), Shon Tupuola (6.4 ppg, now at Murray State).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Valparaiso
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rakim ChaneyG · Sophomore · #717 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.5 | 22.5 | 5.5 | 3.5 | 58.6 (17-29) | 41.7 (5-12) | 60.0 (6-10) |
| Justus McNairG · Junior · #1532 ranked | 2 · 2 | 31.5 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 46.7 (7-15) | 16.7 (1-6) | 55.6 (5-9) |
| JT PettigrewF · Sophomore · #705 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.5 | 14.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 47.6 (10-21) | 25.0 (1-4) | 61.5 (8-13) |
| Bruno AlocenG · Junior · #1900 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.5 | 5.0 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 33.3 (3-9) | 28.6 (2-7) | 66.7 (2-3) |
| Carter HopoiF · Sophomore · #1491 ranked | 2 · 2 | 25.0 | 8.0 | 5.5 | 1.5 | 50.0 (8-16) | 0.0 (0-3) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Sader ServilusG · Sophomore · #1724 ranked | 2 · 0 | 24.0 | 3.5 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 100.0 (2-2) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Terron GarrettG · Sophomore · #3886 ranked | 2 · 0 | 18.5 | 5.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 30.0 (3-10) | 33.3 (2-6) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Rajan RobertsG · Freshman · #3172 ranked | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 6.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-2) | 63.6 (7-11) |
| Kai YuC · Junior · #1959 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 16.7 (1-6) | 0.0 (0-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Kobe WalkerF · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 8.0 | 8.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 75.0 (3-4) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Hudson ScrogginsF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (2-2) |
| Camden WebsterG · Sophomore · #2454 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Nick LombardiG · Junior · #2786 ranked | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| JT PettigrewF · Sophomore |  Returning | 27 | 12.5 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.8 ast |
| Rakim ChaneyG · Sophomore | Returning | 27 | 10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.8 ast |
| Bruno AlocenG · Junior |  Transfer from Indiana State | 19 | 6.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.5 ast |
| Justus McNairG · Junior | Returning | 18 | 7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 1 ast |
| Carter HopoiF · Sophomore | Returning | 16 | 3.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast |
| Kai YuC · Junior |  Transfer from Bradley | 15 | 2.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Sader ServilusG · Sophomore | Returning | 11 | 2.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Justin Curry IIG · Freshman | Freshman · #340 recruit | 8 | — |
| Rajan RobertsG · Freshman | Freshman · #269 recruit | 8 | — |
| Camden WebsterG · Sophomore | Returning | 5 | 1 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.2 ast |
| Nick LombardiG · Junior | Returning | 5 | 0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0 ast |
Gone from last season: Owen Dease (12.8 ppg), Brody Whitaker (9.1 ppg), Shon Tupuola (6.4 ppg, to 
Murray State), Mark Brown Jr. (3 ppg, to 
Utah Tech), Isaiah Barnes (3.8 ppg), Tucker Tornatta (3.3 ppg, to 
Bellarmine)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | JT Pettigrew | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 230 | Lisle, IL | 14.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 12.5 pts · 6.8 reb · 1.8 ast (33 G) | #705 · +0.65 |
| 2 | Rakim Chaney | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 185 | Rockford, IL | 22.5 pts · 5.5 reb · 3.5 ast (2 G) | 10.4 pts · 3.4 reb · 2.8 ast (33 G) | #717 · +0.64 |
| 13 | Carter Hopoi | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-11 · 235 | Tauranga, New Zealand | 8.0 pts · 5.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | 3.8 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.6 ast (33 G) | #1491 · +0.10 |
| 1 | Justus McNair | Returning | G | Junior | 6-3 · 195 | Joliet, IL | 10.0 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 7.9 pts · 1.8 reb · 1.0 ast (32 G) | #1532 · +0.08 |
| 44 | Sader Servilus | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 230 | Montreal, PQ | 3.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 2.6 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.7 ast (25 G) | #1724 · 0.00 |
| 4 | Bruno Alocen | Transfer from Indiana State | G | Junior | 6-6 · 195 | Barcelona, Spain | 5.0 pts · 3.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 6.3 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.5 ast (32 G) | #1900 · -0.08 |
| 12 | Kai Yu | Transfer from Bradley | C | Junior | 7-0 · 250 | Zhuhai, China | 1.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 2.7 pts · 1.9 reb · 0.3 ast (29 G) | #1959 · -0.10 |
| 5 | Camden Webster | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 200 | Wheatfield, IN | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 1.0 pts · 0.4 reb · 0.2 ast (5 G) | #2454 · -0.28 |
| 32 | Nick Lombardi | Returning | G | Junior | 6-0 · 175 | Lisle, IL | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 0.0 pts · 0.2 reb · 0.0 ast (5 G) | #2786 · -0.41 |
| 0 | Rajan Roberts | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 200 | Chicago, IL | 6.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3172 · -0.56 |
| 10 | Justin Curry II | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-4 · 170 | Noblesville, IN | Hasn't played | — | #3829 · -0.86 |
| 23 | Terron Garrett | New to Division I | G | Sophomore | 6-6 · 190 | St. Louis, MO | 5.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #3886 · -0.88 |
| 11 | George Richardson | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-6 · 225 | Chicago, IL | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
| 14 | Hudson Scroggins | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 215 | Lake Bluff, IL | 1.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 15 | Kobe Walker | Returning | F | Freshman | 6-9 · 265 | Normal, IL | 8.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 3 | Dylan Moles | New to Division I | G | Senior | 6-3 · 195 | Greenfield, IN | Hasn't played | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vsWestern Illinois | W80-58Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  atPurdue | W83-80Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 11 |  atSouth Dakota State | Projected 71-70VAL: 51% to winValparaiso: 51% to win Compare |
| Nov 16 | vsCalumet St. Joseph(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Nov 21 |  vs (N)TroyPensacola Invitational | Projected 73-68VAL: 68% to winValparaiso: 68% to win Compare |
| Nov 22 |  vs (N)Southern MissPensacola Invitational | Projected 75-68VAL: 75% to winValparaiso: 75% to win Compare |
| Nov 28 |  vsToledo | Projected 75-70VAL: 67% to winValparaiso: 67% to win Compare |
| Dec 2 |  atUICConference | Projected 67-75VAL: 23% to winValparaiso: 23% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  atUNC Wilmington | Projected 70-73VAL: 39% to winValparaiso: 39% to win Compare |
| Dec 8 | vsSaint Xavier(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 12 |  vsChicago State | Projected 79-62VAL: 93% to winValparaiso: 93% to win Compare |
| Dec 18 |  vsSIU Edwardsville | Projected 75-65VAL: 80% to winValparaiso: 80% to win Compare |
| Dec 22 |  vsEvansvilleConference | Projected 78-64VAL: 90% to winValparaiso: 90% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 | atBradleyConference | Projected 71-68VAL: 61% to winValparaiso: 61% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  vsSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 78-71VAL: 75% to winValparaiso: 75% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  atNorthern IowaConference | Projected 70-73VAL: 40% to winValparaiso: 40% to win Compare |
| Jan 8 | vsUICConference | Projected 70-72VAL: 41% to winValparaiso: 41% to win Compare |
| Jan 12 |  atDrakeConference | Projected 72-73VAL: 46% to winValparaiso: 46% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  atIllinois StateConference | Projected 68-75VAL: 27% to winValparaiso: 27% to win Compare |
| Jan 18 | vsNorthern IowaConference | Projected 73-70VAL: 61% to winValparaiso: 61% to win Compare |
| Jan 21 |  vsBelmontConference | Projected 73-72VAL: 52% to winValparaiso: 52% to win Compare |
| Jan 24 | atSouthern IllinoisConference | Projected 75-74VAL: 56% to winValparaiso: 56% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 | vsIndiana StateConference | Projected 76-68VAL: 77% to winValparaiso: 77% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 | atMurray StateConference | Projected 73-80VAL: 28% to winValparaiso: 28% to win Compare |
| Feb 3 | vsDrakeConference | Projected 75-70VAL: 67% to winValparaiso: 67% to win Compare |
| Feb 9 | vsIllinois StateConference | Projected 71-72VAL: 47% to winValparaiso: 47% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 | atIndiana StateConference | Projected 73-71VAL: 58% to winValparaiso: 58% to win Compare |
| Feb 15 | atEvansvilleConference | Projected 75-67VAL: 77% to winValparaiso: 77% to win Compare |
| Feb 18 | vsBradleyConference | Projected 74-65VAL: 79% to winValparaiso: 79% to win Compare |
| Feb 24 | atBelmontConference | Projected 70-75VAL: 31% to winValparaiso: 31% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsMurray StateConference | Projected 77-78VAL: 49% to winValparaiso: 49% to win Compare |
MVC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UIC | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Murray State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Belmont | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | Valparaiso | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Drake | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| 6 | Evansville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | Illinois State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 8 | Northern Iowa | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 9 | Southern Illinois | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 10 | Indiana State | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 11 | Bradley | 0-0 | 1-1 |