
College Basketball · MVC · 2026-27
Northern Iowa Panthers
1-1 · Coach Kyle Green
Power Rankings
Who is best right now.
+3.4points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +6.0 (#112)
Preseason: #112
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
17-15
- Conference record
- 11-9
- Conference title
- 4%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #112 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #79 in the country (+12.0), 23-13.
- →10% of last season's minutes are back.
- →5 transfers in, led by Greyson Uelmen (North Dakota, 17.1 ppg), Isaiah Johnson-Arigu (St. Thomas-Minnesota, 10.5 ppg), Tate McCubbin (Austin Peay, 9.7 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →Lost Trey Campbell (13.7 ppg, now at Utah), Leon Bond III (11.9 ppg, now at Iowa State), Max Weisbrod (6.4 ppg, now at Northern Illinois).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Northern Iowa
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greyson UelmenG · Junior · #552 ranked | 2 · 2 | 28.0 | 16.0 | 7.5 | 4.0 | 38.5 (10-26) | 16.7 (1-6) | 84.6 (11-13) |
| Tate McCubbinG · Junior · #1063 ranked | 2 · 2 | 27.0 | 10.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 47.1 (8-17) | 35.7 (5-14) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Carson VisG · Sophomore · #2466 ranked | 2 · 0 | 25.5 | 17.5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | 54.5 (12-22) | 41.7 (5-12) | 66.7 (6-9) |
| Isaiah Johnson-AriguF · Junior · #487 ranked | 2 · 1 | 19.0 | 16.0 | 2.0 | 0.5 | 62.5 (10-16) | 33.3 (2-6) | 90.9 (10-11) |
| Levi ValdoG · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 17.0 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 40.0 (4-10) | 25.0 (1-4) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Geon HutchinsG · Sophomore · #1987 ranked | 2 · 2 | 15.5 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 37.5 (6-16) | 16.7 (1-6) | 75.0 (3-4) |
| Ian SmikleF · Junior · #790 ranked | 2 · 2 | 13.5 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 44.4 (4-9) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jalen WilsonF · Sophomore | 1 · 0 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | 33.3 (1-3) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Redek BornG · Junior | 2 · 0 | 12.0 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | 0.0 (0-1) | 80.0 (4-5) |
| Will GerdesF · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 11.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 60.0 (3-5) | — (0-0) | 75.0 (6-8) |
| Kyle PockF · Senior · #1893 ranked | 2 · 1 | 10.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 (0-6) | 0.0 (0-4) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Jules IsebaertF · Sophomore | 2 · 0 | 9.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | 50.0 (1-2) |
| Cade CourbatG · Junior | 1 · 0 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Jaydon KimbroughG · Freshman | 2 · 0 | 3.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 50.0 (2-4) | 33.3 (1-3) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tate McCubbinG · Junior | 20 | 9.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.4 ast | |
| Isaiah Johnson-AriguF · Junior | 19 | 10.5 pts · 4 reb · 1.1 ast | |
| Ian SmikleF · Junior | 18 | 3.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 1 ast | |
| Greyson UelmenG · Junior | 18 | 17.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast | |
| Carson VisG · Sophomore | 14 | 5.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.8 ast | |
| Kyle PockF · Senior | 14 | 3.7 pts · 1 reb · 0.2 ast | |
| Geon HutchinsG · Sophomore | 10 | 1.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.2 ast |
Gone from last season: Trey Campbell (13.7 ppg, to
Utah), Leon Bond III (11.9 ppg, to
Iowa State), Max Weisbrod (6.4 ppg, to
Northern Illinois), Ben Schwieger (9.7 ppg), Will Hornseth (11.1 ppg, to
Utah State), Tristan Smith (9.1 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 | Isaiah Johnson-Arigu | F | Junior | 6-7 · 214 | Maple Grove, MN | 16.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 10.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.1 ast (33 G) | #487 · +0.89 | |
| 1 | Greyson Uelmen | G | Junior | 6-3 · 183 | Excelsior, MN | 16.0 pts · 7.5 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 17.1 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.3 ast (34 G) | #552 · +0.81 | |
| 35 | Ian Smikle | F | Junior | 6-9 · 248 | West Palm Beach, FL | 4.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 3.1 pts · 3.7 reb · 1.0 ast (38 G) | #790 · +0.56 | |
| 3 | Tate McCubbin | G | Junior | 6-8 · 190 | Columbia, MO | 10.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 9.7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1.4 ast (31 G) | #1063 · +0.34 | |
| 22 | Kyle Pock | F | Senior | 6-6 · 223 | Bolivar, MO | 0.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 3.7 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.2 ast (34 G) | #1893 · -0.07 | |
| 2 | Geon Hutchins | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 189 | Detroit, MI | 8.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 1.5 pts · 1.2 reb · 0.2 ast (35 G) | #1987 · -0.11 | |
| 8 | Carson Vis | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 202 | Byron Center, MI | 17.5 pts · 3.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 5.8 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.8 ast (31 G) | #2466 · -0.29 | |
| 5 | Jaydon Kimbrough | Freshman | G | Freshman | 6-3 · 196 | Cedar Falls, IA | 2.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 32 | Will Gerdes | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 216 | Cedar Falls, IA | 6.0 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 24 | Jalen Wilson | F | Sophomore | 6-8 · 207 | Minneapolis, MN | 6.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 7 | Jules Isebaert | New to Division I | F | Sophomore | 6-5 · 192 | Kortrijk, Belgium | 0.5 pts · 0.5 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 9 | Levi Valdo | G | Sophomore | 6-3 · 207 | Yaounde, Cameroon | 4.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.5 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 15 | Cade Courbat | G | Junior | 6-8 · 235 | Cedar Falls, IA | 0.0 pts · 2.0 reb · 1.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet | |
| 0 | Redek Born | G | Junior | 6-3 · 207 | Norwalk, IA | 5.0 pts · 3.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 3 | vsCornell College (IA)(non-D1) | W106-70Box score → |
| Nov 7 | L83-98Box score → | |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 10 | Projected 76-70UNI: 69% to winNorthern Iowa: 69% to win Compare | |
| Nov 13 | Projected 63-86UNI: 3% to winNorthern Iowa: 3% to win Compare | |
| Nov 14 | Projected 77-74UNI: 60% to winNorthern Iowa: 60% to win Compare | |
| Nov 17 | Projected 83-68UNI: 91% to winNorthern Iowa: 91% to win Compare | |
| Nov 23 | Projected 71-73UNI: 42% to winNorthern Iowa: 42% to win Compare | |
| Nov 25 | Projected 72-73UNI: 48% to winNorthern Iowa: 48% to win Compare | |
| Nov 28 | Projected 76-66UNI: 80% to winNorthern Iowa: 80% to win Compare | |
| Dec 1 | Projected 62-86UNI: 2% to winNorthern Iowa: 2% to win Compare | |
| Dec 4 | vsWartburg(non-D1) | Upcoming |
| Dec 11 | Projected 72-77UNI: 33% to winNorthern Iowa: 33% to win Compare | |
| Dec 18 | Projected 77-75UNI: 55% to winNorthern Iowa: 55% to win Compare | |
| Dec 21 | Projected 76-67UNI: 79% to winNorthern Iowa: 79% to win Compare | |
| Dec 29 | Projected 71-77UNI: 31% to winNorthern Iowa: 31% to win Compare | |
| Jan 2 | Projected 80-65UNI: 89% to winNorthern Iowa: 89% to win Compare | |
| Jan 5 | Projected 73-70UNI: 60% to winNorthern Iowa: 60% to win Compare | |
| Jan 9 | Projected 75-72UNI: 57% to winNorthern Iowa: 57% to win Compare | |
| Jan 12 | Projected 73-74UNI: 46% to winNorthern Iowa: 46% to win Compare | |
| Jan 18 | Projected 70-73UNI: 39% to winNorthern Iowa: 39% to win Compare | |
| Jan 21 | Projected 78-79UNI: 49% to winNorthern Iowa: 49% to win Compare | |
| Jan 24 | Projected 77-68UNI: 76% to winNorthern Iowa: 76% to win Compare | |
| Jan 27 | Projected 71-74UNI: 41% to winNorthern Iowa: 41% to win Compare | |
| Jan 30 | Projected 74-75UNI: 46% to winNorthern Iowa: 46% to win Compare | |
| Feb 3 | Projected 70-77UNI: 27% to winNorthern Iowa: 27% to win Compare | |
| Feb 6 | Projected 80-72UNI: 75% to winNorthern Iowa: 75% to win Compare | |
| Feb 9 | Projected 78-69UNI: 77% to winNorthern Iowa: 77% to win Compare | |
| Feb 13 | Projected 68-77UNI: 22% to winNorthern Iowa: 22% to win Compare | |
| Feb 15 | Projected 73-70UNI: 61% to winNorthern Iowa: 61% to win Compare | |
| Feb 21 | Projected 77-72UNI: 66% to winNorthern Iowa: 66% to win Compare | |
| Feb 24 | Projected 75-82UNI: 28% to winNorthern Iowa: 28% to win Compare | |
| Feb 28 | Projected 75-74UNI: 52% to winNorthern Iowa: 52% to win Compare | |
MVC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 2 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 3 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 4 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 5 | 0-0 | 1-0 | |
| 6 | 0-0 | 2-0 | |
| 7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | |
| 11 | 0-0 | 1-1 |