Power Rankings
#23▼5
Who is best right now.
+23.9points per 100 possessions vs an average D-I team
Last week: +25.3 (#18)
Preseason: #18
Full Power Rankings → Compare to another teamRating breakdown
Adjusted for every opponent and home court. Power = offense minus defense.
Projected record
21-9
- Conference record
- 12-6
- Conference title
- 4%
- Outright title
- 2%
- Luck
- -0.1
Actual results so far plus the rest of the seasonplayed out 10,000 times with the win chance for each game (non-Division I opponents count as 97% wins). The title is the regular-season crown; conference tournaments aren't included. Later rounds of holiday tournaments are added once the opponent is known.
Why #18 in the preseason
What the computer saw going in
- →Last season: #32 in the country (+22.2), 26-9.
- →40% of last season's minutes are back.
- →7 transfers in, led by DeSean Goode (Robert Morris, 15.6 ppg), Brent Bland (Saint Peter's, 13.9 ppg), Acaden Lewis (Villanova, 12.2 ppg). Transfers moving up a level are counted cautiously.
- →2 ranked freshmen: Caleb Gaskins (#16), Egor Ryzhov (#162).
- →Lost Tre Donaldson (16.3 ppg), Ernest Udeh Jr. (6.7 ppg), Tru Washington (12 ppg, now at Xavier).
The preseason rating counts for about five games, then real results take over.
Teams like Miami
The closest matches across all 365 Division I teams, based on the current ratings.
This season
Everyone who has played, most minutes first: per-game numbers from the box scores, updated after every game.
| Player | G · GS | Min | Pts | Reb | Ast | FG% | 3P% | FT% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Acaden LewisG · Sophomore · #219 ranked | 2 · 2 | 32.5 | 14.5 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 44.0 (11-25) | 20.0 (2-10) | 83.3 (5-6) |
| Shelton HendersonF · Sophomore · #118 ranked | 2 · 2 | 29.5 | 13.0 | 6.0 | 2.5 | 40.0 (10-25) | 0.0 (0-5) | 85.7 (6-7) |
| Somto CyrilC · Junior · #55 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.0 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 60.0 (6-10) | — (0-0) | 83.3 (10-12) |
| Malik ReneauF · Senior · #45 ranked | 2 · 2 | 23.0 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 46.2 (6-13) | 100.0 (1-1) | 66.7 (4-6) |
| Caleb GaskinsF · Freshman · #358 ranked | 2 · 2 | 22.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 50.0 (6-12) | 33.3 (1-3) | 40.0 (2-5) |
| Dante AllenG · Sophomore · #509 ranked | 2 · 0 | 19.5 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 4.0 | 40.0 (2-5) | 0.0 (0-2) | 87.5 (7-8) |
| Brent BlandG · Senior · #791 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 33.3 (4-12) | 33.3 (3-9) | 0.0 (0-1) |
| Nick DornG · Senior · #1173 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.5 | 3.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 28.6 (2-7) | 33.3 (2-6) | — (0-0) |
| Robert Miller IIIF · Junior · #536 ranked | 2 · 0 | 13.0 | 6.5 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 (5-6) | — (0-0) | 100.0 (3-3) |
| DeSean GoodeF · Junior · #93 ranked | 1 · 0 | 7.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-1) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Egor RyzhovC · Senior · #2572 ranked | 2 · 0 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 (0-2) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
| Christopher Birden Jr.F · Freshman | 1 · 0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — (0-0) | — (0-0) | — (0-0) |
Projected rotation
The preseason model's minutes projection for each player with a track record (college stats or a recruiting rank), most minutes first. Players without one aren't projected here; This season above lists everyone who has played.
| Player | How he got here | Proj. min | Last season |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelton HendersonF · Sophomore |  Returning | 31 | 13.8 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.1 ast |
| Malik ReneauF · Senior | Returning | 30 | 18.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.1 ast |
| Acaden LewisG · Sophomore |  Transfer from Villanova | 24 | 12.2 pts · 3 reb · 5.3 ast |
| Somto CyrilC · Junior |  Transfer from Georgia | 21 | 9.3 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.5 ast |
| Dante AllenG · Sophomore | Returning | 21 | 6.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.2 ast |
| Caleb GaskinsF · Freshman | Freshman · #16 recruit | 21 | — |
| DeSean GoodeF · Junior |  Transfer from Robert Morris | 20 | 15.6 pts · 8.7 reb · 1.4 ast |
| Nick DornG · Senior |  Transfer from Indiana | 19 | 8.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast |
| Robert Miller IIIF · Junior |  Transfer from LSU | 18 | 6.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Brent BlandG · Senior |  Transfer from Saint Peter's | 16 | 13.9 pts · 5 reb · 1.6 ast |
| Quin BergerG · Senior |  Transfer from Bucknell | 11 | 3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast |
| Egor RyzhovC · Senior | Freshman · #162 recruit | 9 | — |
Gone from last season: Tre Donaldson (16.3 ppg), Ernest Udeh Jr. (6.7 ppg), Tru Washington (12 ppg, to 
Xavier), Timotej Malovec (4.2 ppg, to 
Kansas State), Noam Dovrat (3.8 ppg)
Roster
Everyone on this season's roster, with this season's numbers for anyone who has played. Names link to player pages, ranked players first.
| # | Player | How he got here | Pos | Class | Ht / Wt | Hometown | This season | Last season | Rank · Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Malik Reneau | Returning | F | Senior | 6-9 · 235 | Miami, FL | 8.5 pts · 4.0 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 18.9 pts · 6.5 reb · 2.1 ast (35 G) | #45 · +2.22 |
| 2 | Somto Cyril | Transfer from Georgia | C | Junior | 6-11 · 260 | Enugu, Nigeria | 11.0 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.0 ast (2 G) | 9.3 pts · 5.4 reb · 0.5 ast (33 G) | #55 · +2.06 |
| 0 | DeSean Goode | Transfer from Robert Morris | F | Junior | 6-8 · 230 | Fairmont, WV | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | 15.6 pts · 8.7 reb · 1.4 ast (32 G) | #93 · +1.87 |
| 7 | Shelton Henderson | Returning | F | Sophomore | 6-6 · 240 | Houston, TX | 13.0 pts · 6.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 13.8 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.1 ast (35 G) | #118 · +1.74 |
| 55 | Acaden Lewis | Transfer from Villanova | G | Sophomore | 6-2 · 180 | Washington, DC | 14.5 pts · 3.0 reb · 2.5 ast (2 G) | 12.2 pts · 3.0 reb · 5.3 ast (33 G) | #219 · +1.36 |
| 11 | Caleb Gaskins | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-8 · 219 | Melbourne, FL | 7.5 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | — | #358 · +1.09 |
| 35 | Dante Allen | Returning | G | Sophomore | 6-4 · 220 | Miami, FL | 5.5 pts · 5.0 reb · 4.0 ast (2 G) | 6.6 pts · 2.8 reb · 2.2 ast (30 G) | #509 · +0.86 |
| 6 | Robert Miller III | Transfer from LSU | F | Junior | 6-10 · 230 | Houston, TX | 6.5 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 6.1 pts · 3.9 reb · 0.7 ast (31 G) | #536 · +0.83 |
| 1 | Brent Bland | Transfer from Saint Peter's | G | Senior | 6-3 · 205 | Wheatley Heights, NY | 5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 0.5 ast (2 G) | 13.9 pts · 5.0 reb · 1.6 ast (29 G) | #791 · +0.56 |
| 3 | Nick Dorn | Transfer from Indiana | G | Senior | 6-7 · 225 | Charlotte, NC | 3.0 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | 8.1 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast (30 G) | #1173 · +0.27 |
| 10 | Egor Ryzhov | Freshman | C | Senior | 6-11 · 220 | St Petersburg, Russia | 0.0 pts · 1.0 reb · 0.0 ast (2 G) | — | #2572 · -0.33 |
| 12 | Quin Berger | Transfer from Bucknell | G | Senior | 6-2 · 195 | Malvern, PA | Hasn't played | 3.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.7 ast (30 G) | #3783 · -0.84 |
| 8 | Christopher Birden Jr. | Freshman | F | Freshman | 6-10 · 200 | New Orleans, LA | 0.0 pts · 0.0 reb · 0.0 ast (1 G) | — | Not ranked yet |
| 13 | L.J. CasonOut for season |  Transfer from Michigan | G | Junior | 6-2 · 195 | Lakeland, FL | Hasn't played | 8.4 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.4 ast (28 G) | Not ranked yet |
| 4 | Marcus AllenOut for season | Returning | F | Junior | 6-7 · 231 | Miami, FL | Hasn't played | 5.2 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.6 ast (8 G) | Not ranked yet |
Schedule
Projected scores and win chances come from the current ratings and update every morning.
| Nov 2 |  vs (N)#2Florida | L67-77Box score → |
| Nov 6 |  vsWagner | W83-57Box score → |
| Still to play · computer projections | ||
| Nov 9 |  vsNorth Florida | Projected 94-62MIA: 99% to winMiami: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 13 |  vsNorth Alabama | Projected 88-59MIA: 99% to winMiami: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 17 |  vsRider | Projected 91-54MIA: 99% to winMiami: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 20 |  vsManhattan | Projected 91-58MIA: 99% to winMiami: 99% to win Compare |
| Nov 24 |  vs (N)TCUPlayers Era 16 | Projected 76-75MIA: 54% to winMiami: 54% to win Compare |
| Nov 26 | Players Era 16More games Nov 26–28, opponents and days set by results | Opponent TBD |
| Dec 2 |  vs#22AlabamaACC/SEC Men's Challenge | Projected 83-81MIA: 59% to winMiami: 59% to win Compare |
| Dec 5 |  vsStetson | Projected 89-61MIA: 99% to winMiami: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 12 |  vs (N)#14TexasHouston Hoopfest | Projected 76-79MIA: 41% to winMiami: 41% to win Compare |
| Dec 16 |  vsAlcorn State | Projected 94-60MIA: 99% to winMiami: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 21 |  vsSouth Carolina Upstate | Projected 91-58MIA: 99% to winMiami: 99% to win Compare |
| Dec 29 |  vsNC StateConference | Projected 79-74MIA: 67% to winMiami: 67% to win Compare |
| Jan 2 |  atPittsburghConference | Projected 75-73MIA: 60% to winMiami: 60% to win Compare |
| Jan 5 |  atGeorgia TechConference | Projected 82-72MIA: 82% to winMiami: 82% to win Compare |
| Jan 9 |  vsSyracuseConference | Projected 79-71MIA: 76% to winMiami: 76% to win Compare |
| Jan 16 |  vs#24VirginiaConference | Projected 78-74MIA: 61% to winMiami: 61% to win Compare |
| Jan 19 |  at#19LouisvilleConference | Projected 75-80MIA: 33% to winMiami: 33% to win Compare |
| Jan 23 |  atVirginia TechConference | Projected 76-77MIA: 49% to winMiami: 49% to win Compare |
| Jan 27 |  vsClemsonConference | Projected 80-70MIA: 79% to winMiami: 79% to win Compare |
| Jan 30 |  vsWake ForestConference | Projected 82-67MIA: 89% to winMiami: 89% to win Compare |
| Feb 1 |  at#1DukeConference | Projected 69-82MIA: 14% to winMiami: 14% to win Compare |
| Feb 6 |  vsFlorida StateConference | Projected 83-76MIA: 72% to winMiami: 72% to win Compare |
| Feb 10 |  atStanfordConference | Projected 76-71MIA: 67% to winMiami: 67% to win Compare |
| Feb 13 |  atCaliforniaConference | Projected 78-73MIA: 67% to winMiami: 67% to win Compare |
| Feb 20 |  vsNotre DameConference | Projected 79-70MIA: 80% to winMiami: 80% to win Compare |
| Feb 22 |  atNorth CarolinaConference | Projected 78-77MIA: 51% to winMiami: 51% to win Compare |
| Feb 27 | vsPittsburghConference | Projected 78-69MIA: 78% to winMiami: 78% to win Compare |
| Mar 2 |  vsSMUConference | Projected 84-72MIA: 84% to winMiami: 84% to win Compare |
| Mar 6 | atFlorida StateConference | Projected 81-80MIA: 51% to winMiami: 51% to win Compare |
ACC standings
| # | Team | Conf | Overall |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Duke | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 2 | Louisville | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 3 | Virginia | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 4 | NC State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 5 | Virginia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 6 | Florida State | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 7 | North Carolina | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 8 | Syracuse | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 9 |  Boston College | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 10 | Pittsburgh | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 11 | Notre Dame | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 12 | Clemson | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 13 | SMU | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 14 | Stanford | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 15 | California | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 16 | Georgia Tech | 0-0 | 2-0 |
| 17 | Miami | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 18 | Wake Forest | 0-0 | 1-1 |